Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 39 goals from 37.9 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall | 3.04–0.79 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Won against the xG: Millwall |
| Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth | 0.44–0.50 | 24% · 48% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn | 1.06–1.52 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Blackburn |
| Sheffield Utd 3–3 Swansea | 1.04–1.96 | 20% · 22% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Swansea had 59% |
| Leicester 2–2 Preston | 2.01–0.41 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Leicester had 76% |
| Oxford United 1–1 Hull City | 3.44–0.82 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Oxford United had 86% |
| QPR 2–1 Watford | 2.40–0.34 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for QPR |
| West Brom 2–2 Wrexham | 1.61–1.73 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday | 2.54–1.39 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Stoke City |
| Charlton 1–2 Bristol City | 1.56–2.59 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Bristol City |
| Coventry 3–2 Derby | 1.57–2.18 | 28% · 21% · 52% | Won against the xG: Coventry |
| Southampton 2–2 Ipswich | 1.01–1.92 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Ipswich had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.