Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 36 goals from 34.9 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn 1–2 Stoke City | 1.90–1.29 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Won against the xG: Stoke City |
| Derby 0–4 Norwich | 0.73–2.41 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Norwich |
| Portsmouth 3–1 Swansea | 1.44–2.31 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Won against the xG: Portsmouth |
| Preston 2–3 Sheffield Utd | 0.96–2.02 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sheffield Utd |
| QPR 1–1 Burnley | 1.80–0.17 | 78% · 19% · 3% | Draw against the xG: QPR had 78% |
| Watford 1–0 Lincoln | 0.71–0.83 | 28% · 36% · 35% | Close call, Watford won |
| Charlton 0–1 Bolton | 0.88–0.84 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Close call, Bolton won |
| Birmingham 3–0 Millwall | 1.38–1.44 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Close call, Birmingham won |
| West Brom 1–1 Southampton | 2.51–1.40 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Draw against the xG: West Brom had 62% |
| Cardiff 3–3 West Ham | 1.19–2.81 | 14% · 15% · 71% | Draw against the xG: West Ham had 71% |
| Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough | 1.51–0.95 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Wrexham |
| Bristol City 1–2 Wolves | 1.03–2.37 | 15% · 18% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.