Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster 1–1 Bolton | 1.29–0.86 | 47% · 29% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Exeter City 1–0 Luton | 2.07–0.23 | 81% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Exeter City |
| Leyton Orient 1–3 AFC Wimbledon | 0.22–1.09 | 7% · 34% · 59% | Win in line with xG for AFC Wimbledon |
| Lincoln 1–1 Huddersfield | 2.70–1.08 | 72% · 16% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Lincoln had 72% |
| Mansfield Town 3–0 Bradford | 2.52–1.52 | 59% · 18% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Mansfield Town |
| Northampton 0–0 Stockport County | 1.03–0.32 | 53% · 35% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Northampton had 53% |
| Port Vale 5–1 Blackpool | 2.65–0.22 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Port Vale |
| Reading 2–0 Burton Albion | 1.63–0.39 | 68% · 23% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Reading |
| Rotherham 0–2 Peterborough | 0.93–1.43 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Peterborough |
| Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth | 0.60–1.10 | 20% · 32% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wigan 1–1 Barnsley | 2.08–0.62 | 72% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Wigan had 72% |
| Wycombe 1–1 Cardiff | 0.86–2.08 | 15% · 20% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Cardiff had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.