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4 of 12 matches with xG: 10 goals from 11.0 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton 2–1 Stevenage | 1.78–1.74 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Luton |
| Stockport County 1–0 Huddersfield | 0.63–1.23 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Won against the xG: Stockport County |
| Peterborough 3–1 Bolton | 1.22–1.76 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Won against the xG: Peterborough |
| Leyton Orient 1–1 Cardiff | 1.70–0.97 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Leyton Orient had 55% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.