Loading the map…
11 of 12 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.9 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan 0–1 Bolton | 0.37–2.38 | 4% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Bolton |
| Bradford 1–2 Cardiff | 1.14–0.69 | 46% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: Cardiff |
| AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Doncaster | 0.40–1.25 | 12% · 30% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Doncaster |
| Barnsley 2–1 Blackpool | 0.59–0.97 | 22% · 35% · 43% | Won against the xG: Barnsley |
| Burton Albion 3–1 Huddersfield | 0.81–1.49 | 20% · 26% · 53% | Won against the xG: Burton Albion |
| Exeter City 3–0 Stevenage | 2.07–0.35 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Exeter City |
| Leyton Orient 3–1 Reading | 1.19–0.83 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Leyton Orient |
| Luton 2–2 Lincoln | 1.71–1.81 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Northampton 1–2 Wycombe | 0.69–0.98 | 25% · 34% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Wycombe |
| Peterborough 0–1 Plymouth | 0.25–3.20 | 1% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Plymouth |
| Stockport County 3–2 Rotherham | 1.25–0.52 | 55% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Stockport County |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.