Loading the map…
11 of 12 matches with xG: 41 goals from 35.5 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton 2–1 Bradford | 1.01–1.46 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Won against the xG: Luton |
| Port Vale 2–2 Burton Albion | 2.14–1.62 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| AFC Wimbledon 3–2 Reading | 3.15–1.49 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for AFC Wimbledon |
| Bolton 3–2 Barnsley | 2.15–0.78 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Bolton |
| Huddersfield 2–2 Blackpool | 0.92–0.96 | 33% · 32% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mansfield Town 0–0 Exeter City | 1.57–0.28 | 70% · 23% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Mansfield Town had 70% |
| Northampton 3–1 Stevenage | 2.46–2.84 | 35% · 18% · 48% | Close call, Northampton won |
| Peterborough 6–1 Wigan | 3.49–0.95 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Peterborough |
| Plymouth 1–4 Lincoln | 0.66–1.25 | 20% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Lincoln |
| Stockport County 0–0 Leyton Orient | 1.46–1.37 | 39% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wycombe 4–0 Doncaster | 3.22–0.26 | 92% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Wycombe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.