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League One 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

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Matches

Matchday 33 in xG

4 of 12 matches with xG: 6 goals from 9.3 xG (0.64 goals per xG).

  • Biggest win against the xG: Wigan 1–0 Luton (xG 1.10–2.62). The winner had 14% on xG.
  • Most xG: Wigan 1–0 Luton (xG 1.10–2.62). 3.72 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Wigan 1–0 Luton (xG 1.10–2.62). An xG gap of 1.52.
  • Most goals above xG: Barnsley, +0.93 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Luton, -2.62 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Barnsley 2–1 Peterborough1.07–2.0419% · 21% · 60%Won against the xG: Barnsley
Bradford 1–0 Stockport County0.33–0.6816% · 45% · 39%Won against the xG: Bradford
Blackpool 1–0 Mansfield Town0.64–0.8426% · 37% · 38%Close call, Blackpool won
Wigan 1–0 Luton1.10–2.6214% · 16% · 70%Won against the xG: Wigan

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 32 · Matchday 34

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