Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 38 goals from 35.0 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County 1–1 Leicester | 2.27–0.78 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Notts County had 71% |
| Oxford United 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons | 1.14–1.76 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Milton Keynes Dons had 52% |
| Reading 3–4 Luton | 1.77–1.60 | 42% · 23% · 35% | Close call, Luton won |
| Barnsley 0–1 Bromley | 1.18–1.04 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Close call, Bromley won |
| Blackpool 1–1 Wycombe | 1.96–1.57 | 47% · 22% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bradford 2–0 Peterborough | 1.48–1.09 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bradford |
| Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage | 0.94–0.51 | 45% · 36% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cambridge United 3–2 Wigan | 1.92–2.72 | 27% · 18% · 55% | Won against the xG: Cambridge United |
| Huddersfield 3–0 AFC Wimbledon | 1.04–0.45 | 50% · 34% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Huddersfield |
| Leyton Orient 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday | 1.43–2.70 | 18% · 17% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Sheffield Wednesday |
| Mansfield Town 2–1 Doncaster | 1.12–1.11 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Mansfield Town |
| Plymouth 1–3 Stockport County | 1.49–1.92 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Stockport County |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.