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1 of 12 matches with xG: 3 goals from 2.4 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST | 1.80–0.63 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Colchester |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.