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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 33.7 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves 2–1 Tottenham | 2.15–0.70 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Arsenal 3–1 Burnley | 1.95–0.32 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace 2–3 Everton | 2.17–1.53 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Won against the xG: Everton |
| Manchester United 1–0 Luton | 2.18–0.41 | 79% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Bournemouth 2–0 Newcastle | 2.46–0.49 | 81% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham | 3.08–0.93 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Brighton 1–1 Sheffield Utd | 1.53–1.07 | 48% · 26% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 3–0 Brentford | 1.71–1.68 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| West Ham 3–2 Nottingham Forest | 1.80–1.69 | 41% · 22% · 37% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Chelsea 4–4 Manchester City | 2.95–2.88 | 43% · 17% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.