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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.2 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 1–2 Liverpool | 1.74–1.25 | 49% · 24% · 28% | Won against the xG: Liverpool |
| Brighton 1–1 Burnley | 2.78–0.56 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Brighton had 83% |
| Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth | 1.16–1.48 | 30% · 26% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Sheffield Utd 1–0 Brentford | 0.81–0.66 | 36% · 37% · 27% | Close call, Sheffield Utd won |
| Wolves 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 1.17–1.29 | 34% · 27% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Aston Villa 1–0 Arsenal | 0.57–1.40 | 15% · 28% · 57% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Everton 2–0 Chelsea | 1.22–0.95 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Fulham 5–0 West Ham | 2.37–1.34 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Luton 1–2 Manchester City | 0.33–1.61 | 7% · 23% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Tottenham 4–1 Newcastle | 3.81–1.69 | 76% · 12% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.