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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 30.0 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest 0–2 Tottenham | 1.35–1.57 | 33% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Chelsea 2–0 Sheffield Utd | 3.05–0.36 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Manchester City 2–2 Crystal Palace | 1.61–1.82 | 34% · 22% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Newcastle 3–0 Fulham | 3.51–0.28 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Burnley 0–2 Everton | 0.71–1.46 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Arsenal 2–0 Brighton | 2.34–0.69 | 74% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 1–2 Aston Villa | 0.51–1.42 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| West Ham 3–0 Wolves | 1.13–0.66 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Liverpool 0–0 Manchester United | 2.38–0.75 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 74% |
| Bournemouth 4–3 Luton | 2.35–2.06 | 46% · 19% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.