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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 38.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 1–3 Nottingham Forest | 2.43–3.46 | 26% · 16% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Bournemouth 3–0 Fulham | 1.82–0.28 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Sheffield Utd 2–3 Luton | 2.59–0.63 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Won against the xG: Luton |
| Burnley 0–2 Liverpool | 0.81–1.82 | 16% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Manchester United 3–2 Aston Villa | 1.13–1.66 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Brentford 1–4 Wolves | 2.23–2.39 | 38% · 19% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Chelsea 2–1 Crystal Palace | 2.57–1.12 | 69% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Everton 1–3 Manchester City | 0.98–2.60 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Brighton 4–2 Tottenham | 3.58–2.35 | 62% · 15% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Arsenal 0–2 West Ham | 2.77–1.42 | 66% · 17% · 18% | Won against the xG: West Ham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.