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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.2 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford 3–2 Bournemouth | 1.48–2.61 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Won against the xG: Brentford |
| Crystal Palace 0–2 Fulham | 1.52–1.83 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| West Ham 0–0 Everton | 0.83–1.11 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wolves 2–0 Southampton | 1.26–0.66 | 51% · 30% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Brighton 2–1 Manchester City | 2.29–2.22 | 42% · 19% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa | 2.02–1.38 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Manchester United 3–0 Leicester | 0.76–0.63 | 35% · 38% · 27% | Close call, Manchester United won |
| Nottingham Forest 1–3 Newcastle | 0.63–1.70 | 13% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Tottenham 1–2 Ipswich | 1.55–1.62 | 37% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Ipswich |
| Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal | 1.54–1.55 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.