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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester 1–2 Chelsea | 1.11–2.75 | 13% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton | 1.63–0.94 | 54% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Brighton |
| Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest | 1.19–0.33 | 58% · 31% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Aston Villa 2–2 Crystal Palace | 3.11–1.26 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Aston Villa had 74% |
| Everton 0–0 Brentford | 1.20–1.10 | 38% · 28% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fulham 1–4 Wolves | 1.03–1.32 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Manchester City 0–4 Tottenham | 2.14–2.51 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Southampton 2–3 Liverpool | 1.28–3.15 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Ipswich 1–1 Manchester United | 1.59–0.80 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Ipswich had 56% |
| Newcastle 0–2 West Ham | 1.64–0.81 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Won against the xG: West Ham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.