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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 35.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0–1 Crystal Palace | 0.49–1.64 | 11% · 24% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Leicester 3–1 West Ham | 1.35–3.09 | 14% · 14% · 72% | Won against the xG: Leicester |
| Everton 4–0 Wolves | 1.02–0.78 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest | 2.41–0.88 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool | 2.09–1.99 | 42% · 20% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Southampton 1–5 Chelsea | 1.56–5.43 | 4% · 5% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United | 2.16–0.22 | 83% · 14% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Aston Villa 3–1 Brentford | 2.43–1.03 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Fulham 3–1 Brighton | 0.65–1.47 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Bournemouth 1–0 Tottenham | 3.71–0.87 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.