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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 32.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle | 0.94–2.45 | 13% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Bournemouth 1–0 Everton | 1.84–0.71 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Aston Villa 2–1 Leicester | 1.56–0.41 | 66% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Crystal Palace 1–1 Chelsea | 1.08–1.24 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 4–1 West Ham | 1.91–1.37 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Southampton 0–5 Brentford | 0.29–4.46 | 1% · 2% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Brighton 1–1 Arsenal | 1.52–0.88 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Brighton had 52% |
| Fulham 2–2 Ipswich | 2.24–1.59 | 53% · 20% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Fulham had 53% |
| Liverpool 2–2 Manchester United | 2.82–1.05 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 74% |
| Wolves 0–3 Nottingham Forest | 1.59–2.13 | 29% · 21% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.