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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 30.9 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth | 0.79–2.26 | 12% · 18% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Brentford 0–2 Liverpool | 0.72–3.43 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Leicester 0–2 Fulham | 0.47–2.19 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| West Ham 0–2 Crystal Palace | 0.28–1.32 | 8% · 28% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa | 1.33–1.04 | 43% · 27% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Everton 3–2 Tottenham | 1.95–1.12 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Manchester United 1–3 Brighton | 1.48–1.93 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Nottingham Forest 3–2 Southampton | 2.05–0.89 | 64% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Ipswich 0–6 Manchester City | 0.58–3.03 | 4% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Chelsea 3–1 Wolves | 3.15–0.86 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.