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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 29.5 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest 7–0 Brighton | 3.41–0.88 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Bournemouth 0–2 Liverpool | 1.58–2.52 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Everton 4–0 Leicester | 2.46–0.33 | 84% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Ipswich 1–2 Southampton | 1.55–1.01 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Won against the xG: Southampton |
| Newcastle 1–2 Fulham | 0.75–1.56 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Wolves 2–0 Aston Villa | 1.63–0.45 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Brentford 0–2 Tottenham | 2.06–0.86 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Won against the xG: Tottenham |
| Manchester United 0–2 Crystal Palace | 1.12–2.60 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City | 1.00–0.81 | 39% · 33% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Chelsea 2–1 West Ham | 1.67–1.22 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.