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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth | 2.42–1.46 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Wolves 1–2 Fulham | 1.31–1.69 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Crystal Palace 4–1 Aston Villa | 4.31–0.38 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Chelsea 4–0 Southampton | 2.56–0.72 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Brentford 1–1 Everton | 1.48–1.37 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal | 0.40–0.99 | 15% · 36% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tottenham 0–1 Manchester City | 1.33–2.12 | 24% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Manchester United 3–2 Ipswich | 0.72–1.43 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle | 1.70–0.23 | 75% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| West Ham 2–0 Leicester | 1.33–0.37 | 61% · 28% · 10% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.