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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 23.5 xG (1.41 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool | 0.67–2.50 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 77% |
| Everton 1–1 West Ham | 1.00–0.83 | 38% · 32% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ipswich 2–4 Nottingham Forest | 0.42–1.52 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Manchester City 2–2 Brighton | 1.72–2.04 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Southampton 1–2 Wolves | 1.37–0.36 | 63% · 28% · 10% | Won against the xG: Wolves |
| Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford | 1.67–0.83 | 57% · 24% · 18% | Won against the xG: Brentford |
| Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea | 0.77–0.35 | 42% · 42% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Fulham 2–0 Tottenham | 0.99–0.98 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Leicester 0–3 Manchester United | 1.12–0.78 | 43% · 31% · 25% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Newcastle 5–0 Crystal Palace | 1.54–2.00 | 30% · 22% · 49% | Won against the xG: Newcastle |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.