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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.9 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 2–1 Fulham | 2.38–0.99 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Wolves 1–0 West Ham | 1.18–1.34 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Close call, Wolves won |
| Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester United | 0.48–1.63 | 11% · 24% · 66% | Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest |
| Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich | 1.87–1.17 | 54% · 23% · 24% | Won against the xG: Ipswich |
| Brighton 0–3 Aston Villa | 0.90–1.25 | 27% · 29% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Manchester City 2–0 Leicester | 2.24–0.07 | 88% · 12% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Newcastle 2–1 Brentford | 1.43–1.63 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Close call, Newcastle won |
| Southampton 1–1 Crystal Palace | 0.51–0.88 | 20% · 37% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 1–0 Everton | 1.39–0.67 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham | 1.09–0.79 | 42% · 32% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.