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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 1–1 Arsenal | 1.09–1.79 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Arsenal had 54% |
| Crystal Palace 2–1 Brighton | 0.60–1.00 | 22% · 34% · 44% | Won against the xG: Crystal Palace |
| Ipswich 1–2 Wolves | 0.80–2.71 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| West Ham 2–2 Bournemouth | 0.69–2.12 | 11% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 71% |
| Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest | 3.03–1.48 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Brentford 0–0 Chelsea | 1.18–1.23 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fulham 3–2 Liverpool | 0.74–1.50 | 18% · 26% · 55% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Tottenham 3–1 Southampton | 2.12–1.04 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Manchester United 0–0 Manchester City | 0.91–0.49 | 44% · 37% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Leicester 0–3 Newcastle | 0.48–3.28 | 3% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.