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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 33.9 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City 5–2 Crystal Palace | 3.81–1.82 | 73% · 12% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Brighton 2–2 Leicester | 3.91–1.50 | 80% · 11% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Brighton had 80% |
| Nottingham Forest 0–1 Everton | 0.52–1.36 | 14% · 28% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Southampton 0–3 Aston Villa | 0.31–3.03 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Arsenal 1–1 Brentford | 0.96–0.24 | 53% · 37% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Arsenal had 53% |
| Chelsea 2–2 Ipswich | 2.27–1.07 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 64% |
| Liverpool 2–1 West Ham | 1.78–1.50 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Wolves 4–2 Tottenham | 2.39–1.96 | 48% · 19% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Newcastle 4–1 Manchester United | 2.17–0.72 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Bournemouth 1–0 Fulham | 1.46–1.07 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.