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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.3 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford 4–2 Brighton | 2.17–1.43 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Crystal Palace 0–0 Bournemouth | 0.37–0.72 | 17% · 43% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Everton 0–2 Manchester City | 0.91–2.04 | 16% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| West Ham 1–1 Southampton | 0.91–0.64 | 40% · 36% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle | 2.26–1.00 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Fulham 1–2 Chelsea | 0.25–0.90 | 10% · 39% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Ipswich 0–4 Arsenal | 0.17–2.55 | 1% · 10% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Manchester United 0–1 Wolves | 1.32–0.25 | 65% · 28% · 7% | Won against the xG: Wolves |
| Leicester 0–1 Liverpool | 0.27–2.57 | 2% · 11% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Tottenham 1–2 Nottingham Forest | 2.14–0.48 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.