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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa | 1.09–1.68 | 25% · 24% · 51% | Won against the xG: Manchester City |
| Arsenal 2–2 Crystal Palace | 1.18–1.81 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Crystal Palace had 52% |
| Chelsea 1–0 Everton | 0.88–0.44 | 44% · 38% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Brighton 3–2 West Ham | 1.31–1.27 | 38% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Newcastle 3–0 Ipswich | 2.85–0.10 | 93% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Southampton 1–2 Fulham | 0.63–2.42 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Wolves 3–0 Leicester | 2.02–1.15 | 57% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United | 0.53–2.52 | 6% · 14% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 81% |
| Liverpool 5–1 Tottenham | 2.28–0.46 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brentford | 0.90–1.29 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.