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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 30.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 1–1 Brighton | 2.08–1.83 | 44% · 21% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brentford 3–1 Southampton | 2.78–1.57 | 63% · 17% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Everton 2–3 Bournemouth | 1.97–2.22 | 35% · 20% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Ipswich 1–1 Fulham | 0.45–0.95 | 17% · 36% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Leicester 1–2 Aston Villa | 0.45–1.55 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Nottingham Forest 1–1 Wolves | 1.04–0.74 | 42% · 33% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| West Ham 1–3 Manchester City | 0.73–3.00 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Chelsea 1–1 Crystal Palace | 2.37–0.54 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 78% |
| Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham | 1.83–1.26 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Manchester United 0–3 Liverpool | 1.36–1.79 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.