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Premier League 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 4

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Matches

Matchday 4 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.2 xG (0.88 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Southampton 0–3 Manchester United1.12–2.6714% · 16% · 70%Win in line with xG for Manchester United
Brighton 0–0 Ipswich1.66–0.3570% · 22% · 7%Draw against the xG: Brighton had 70%
Crystal Palace 2–2 Leicester2.55–1.2366% · 17% · 17%Draw against the xG: Crystal Palace had 66%
Fulham 1–1 West Ham1.54–0.7656% · 26% · 18%Draw against the xG: Fulham had 56%
Liverpool 0–1 Nottingham Forest0.94–0.4447% · 37% · 17%Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest
Manchester City 2–1 Brentford2.17–0.9665% · 19% · 16%Win in line with xG for Manchester City
Aston Villa 3–2 Everton2.12–0.9065% · 20% · 15%Win in line with xG for Aston Villa
Bournemouth 0–1 Chelsea1.78–0.7861% · 23% · 16%Won against the xG: Chelsea
Tottenham 0–1 Arsenal0.71–0.7430% · 37% · 32%Close call, Arsenal won
Wolves 1–2 Newcastle1.23–1.5231% · 25% · 44%Win in line with xG for Newcastle

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 3 · Matchday 5

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