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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 30.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 0–3 Chelsea | 0.85–2.19 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Aston Villa 3–1 Wolves | 1.73–0.51 | 67% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Fulham 3–1 Newcastle | 2.29–1.54 | 55% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Leicester 1–1 Everton | 0.66–1.10 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 3–0 Bournemouth | 2.06–1.08 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Southampton 1–1 Ipswich | 2.49–1.69 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Southampton had 55% |
| Tottenham 3–1 Brentford | 3.52–0.80 | 87% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Crystal Palace 0–0 Manchester United | 1.01–1.70 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 54% |
| Brighton 2–2 Nottingham Forest | 1.00–1.42 | 27% · 27% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal | 2.18–0.67 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.