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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 32.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 0–1 Liverpool | 0.64–1.40 | 17% · 28% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Arsenal 3–1 Southampton | 2.83–0.65 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 5–3 Wolves | 4.25–1.05 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Leicester 1–0 Bournemouth | 0.79–2.16 | 12% · 19% · 69% | Won against the xG: Leicester |
| Manchester City 3–2 Fulham | 1.57–2.60 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Won against the xG: Manchester City |
| West Ham 4–1 Ipswich | 3.79–0.65 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Everton 0–0 Newcastle | 0.67–2.05 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 70% |
| Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United | 0.50–0.56 | 25% · 45% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chelsea 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 2.46–0.87 | 72% · 16% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 72% |
| Brighton 3–2 Tottenham | 1.76–1.34 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.