Loading the map…
10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester 1–3 Nottingham Forest | 0.76–1.73 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Aston Villa 1–1 Bournemouth | 1.81–0.31 | 75% · 20% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Aston Villa had 75% |
| Brentford 4–3 Ipswich | 4.10–1.30 | 84% · 9% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Brighton 2–2 Wolves | 1.31–1.36 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 1–0 Southampton | 2.95–0.21 | 91% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Everton 1–1 Fulham | 0.79–1.26 | 23% · 29% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle | 1.61–1.81 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Close call, Chelsea won |
| Crystal Palace 1–0 Tottenham | 0.78–0.74 | 33% · 36% · 31% | Close call, Crystal Palace won |
| West Ham 2–1 Manchester United | 3.00–2.34 | 52% · 17% · 30% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Arsenal 2–2 Liverpool | 0.92–0.81 | 36% · 34% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.