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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.7 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 4–2 Bournemouth | 2.21–1.70 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle | 0.20–1.43 | 5% · 26% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 69% |
| Brighton 1–1 Fulham | 1.48–0.76 | 54% · 26% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Brighton had 54% |
| Sunderland 3–0 West Ham | 0.75–0.56 | 36% · 40% · 24% | Close call, Sunderland won |
| Tottenham 3–0 Burnley | 2.32–0.94 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Wolves 0–4 Manchester City | 0.56–2.47 | 6% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brentford | 1.83–1.49 | 46% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Chelsea 0–0 Crystal Palace | 1.60–0.66 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 60% |
| Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal | 1.52–1.31 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Close call, Arsenal won |
| Leeds 1–0 Everton | 2.13–0.80 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.