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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 1–5 Chelsea | 0.73–2.74 | 7% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Manchester City 0–2 Tottenham | 1.55–1.11 | 47% · 25% · 27% | Won against the xG: Tottenham |
| Bournemouth 1–0 Wolves | 1.29–0.46 | 57% · 29% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa | 1.21–1.19 | 37% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Burnley 2–0 Sunderland | 1.00–0.77 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Burnley |
| Arsenal 5–0 Leeds | 2.88–0.17 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 1.10–0.93 | 39% · 30% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Everton 2–0 Brighton | 1.60–2.43 | 25% · 19% · 56% | Won against the xG: Everton |
| Fulham 1–1 Manchester United | 1.76–1.63 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool | 0.98–0.69 | 41% · 34% · 25% | Won against the xG: Liverpool |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.