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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.0 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 2–0 Fulham | 2.35–1.02 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Manchester United 3–2 Burnley | 3.63–1.20 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Sunderland 2–1 Brentford | 1.54–1.20 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Sunderland |
| Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth | 0.19–1.59 | 4% · 22% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Wolves 2–3 Everton | 1.11–1.93 | 22% · 22% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Leeds 0–0 Newcastle | 0.69–0.46 | 36% · 43% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brighton 2–1 Manchester City | 2.29–1.84 | 49% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Nottingham Forest 0–3 West Ham | 0.73–2.42 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Liverpool 1–0 Arsenal | 0.52–0.49 | 28% · 46% · 26% | Close call, Liverpool won |
| Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal Palace | 1.14–2.65 | 14% · 16% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.