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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.1 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest | 1.84–0.20 | 78% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton | 1.45–0.62 | 57% · 27% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace 0–0 Sunderland | 1.77–0.36 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Crystal Palace had 72% |
| Everton 0–0 Aston Villa | 2.08–0.54 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Everton had 74% |
| Fulham 1–0 Leeds | 0.85–0.79 | 34% · 35% · 31% | Close call, Fulham won |
| Newcastle 1–0 Wolves | 1.55–0.50 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| West Ham 0–3 Tottenham | 0.60–1.29 | 17% · 29% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Brentford 2–2 Chelsea | 1.43–1.25 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Burnley 0–1 Liverpool | 0.13–2.65 | 1% · 9% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United | 2.63–1.52 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.