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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 19.4 xG (1.39 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 2–1 Everton | 0.90–0.70 | 38% · 35% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Brighton 2–2 Tottenham | 1.32–1.22 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 0.85–1.10 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| West Ham 1–2 Crystal Palace | 0.66–2.31 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Wolves 1–3 Leeds | 1.78–0.48 | 69% · 21% · 9% | Won against the xG: Leeds |
| Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea | 1.84–0.43 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Fulham 3–1 Brentford | 1.01–0.60 | 45% · 34% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle | 0.46–0.14 | 33% · 58% · 9% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sunderland 1–1 Aston Villa | 1.04–0.78 | 41% · 32% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City | 0.89–0.87 | 34% · 33% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.