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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.0 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 3–0 Leeds | 3.07–0.50 | 87% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Burnley 0–2 Arsenal | 0.42–2.42 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace 2–0 Brentford | 0.70–0.54 | 35% · 41% · 25% | Close call, Crystal Palace won |
| Fulham 3–0 Wolves | 1.39–0.24 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Nottingham Forest 2–2 Manchester United | 1.93–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Nottingham Forest had 56% |
| Tottenham 0–1 Chelsea | 0.10–3.68 | 0% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa | 1.19–0.41 | 56% · 31% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| West Ham 3–1 Newcastle | 1.75–0.52 | 67% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth | 2.22–0.72 | 72% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Sunderland 1–1 Everton | 1.22–0.89 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.