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Premier League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 11

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Matches

Matchday 11 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 25.9 xG (1.27 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United0.92–0.6341% · 35% · 24%Draw in line with xG
Everton 2–0 Fulham1.44–0.4063% · 26% · 10%Win in line with xG for Everton
West Ham 3–2 Burnley3.02–1.0677% · 13% · 10%Win in line with xG for West Ham
Sunderland 2–2 Arsenal0.44–1.918% · 19% · 73%Draw against the xG: Arsenal had 73%
Chelsea 3–0 Wolves3.31–0.1794% · 5% · 1%Win in line with xG for Chelsea
Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth1.70–1.6140% · 23% · 37%Win in line with xG for Aston Villa
Brentford 3–1 Newcastle2.35–0.4480% · 14% · 5%Win in line with xG for Brentford
Crystal Palace 0–0 Brighton0.75–0.3941% · 42% · 17%Draw in line with xG
Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds2.55–0.6978% · 15% · 8%Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest
Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool1.51–0.6159% · 26% · 15%Win in line with xG for Manchester City

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 10 · Matchday 12

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