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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 28.3 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool | 0.75–0.69 | 33% · 38% · 29% | Close call, Liverpool won |
| Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth | 0.71–1.37 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 53% |
| Brentford 1–1 Sunderland | 1.21–1.71 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brighton 1–1 Leeds | 2.19–2.49 | 35% · 19% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace | 3.14–1.97 | 61% · 16% · 23% | Won against the xG: Crystal Palace |
| Manchester City 1–0 Coventry | 2.12–1.37 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham | 0.92–1.06 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa | 0.57–1.93 | 10% · 20% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Aston Villa had 70% |
| Everton 2–2 Manchester United | 1.01–0.69 | 42% · 33% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea | 2.05–0.39 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.