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9 of 9 matches with xG: 14 goals from 22.4 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG 1–0 Nice | 2.29–0.48 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Monaco 0–1 Paris FC | 0.61–0.85 | 24% · 37% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
| Auxerre 0–1 Marseille | 1.17–0.52 | 52% · 32% · 16% | Won against the xG: Marseille |
| Rennes 4–1 Strasbourg | 2.35–1.60 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Lens 3–0 Lorient | 2.09–1.82 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Lille 1–0 Angers | 2.04–0.37 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Nantes 0–2 Metz | 0.81–1.34 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre | 1.12–1.30 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brest 0–0 Lyon | 1.49–0.20 | 71% · 24% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Brest had 71% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.