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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 12

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Matches

Matchday 12 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.1 xG (1.04 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Paris FC 0–1 Rennes1.98–0.7566% · 20% · 13%Won against the xG: Rennes
Marseille 3–0 Brest3.46–0.7487% · 9% · 4%Win in line with xG for Marseille
Le Havre 1–1 Nantes0.94–0.2154% · 38% · 8%Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 54%
Monaco 1–4 Lens2.83–3.1636% · 17% · 47%Win in line with xG for Lens
Lorient 1–1 Toulouse1.36–1.3238% · 26% · 36%Draw in line with xG
Angers 2–0 Auxerre0.66–0.7029% · 39% · 32%Close call, Angers won
Metz 2–1 Nice1.58–0.9552% · 25% · 23%Win in line with xG for Metz
Strasbourg 2–0 Lille1.07–0.2856% · 34% · 10%Win in line with xG for Strasbourg
Lyon 2–3 PSG0.69–1.4218% · 27% · 55%Win in line with xG for PSG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 11 · Matchday 13

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