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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 14

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Matches

Matchday 14 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Marseille 2–2 Toulouse (xG 1.80–0.70). Draw against the xG: Marseille had 64% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Monaco 1–0 PSG (xG 0.52–1.33). The winner had 15% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Lorient 3–1 Nice (xG 2.38–0.82). The winner had 72% on xG.
  • Most xG: Angers 1–2 Lens (xG 1.16–2.05). 3.21 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Lorient 3–1 Nice (xG 2.38–0.82). An xG gap of 1.56.
  • Most goals above xG: Toulouse, +1.30 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: PSG, -1.33 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Metz 0–1 Rennes1.02–0.7840% · 33% · 27%Close call, Rennes won
Monaco 1–0 PSG0.52–1.3315% · 29% · 57%Won against the xG: Monaco
Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre1.80–1.1154% · 23% · 23%Draw against the xG: Paris FC had 54%
Marseille 2–2 Toulouse1.80–0.7064% · 22% · 14%Draw against the xG: Marseille had 64%
Strasbourg 1–2 Brest0.80–1.0527% · 32% · 41%Win in line with xG for Brest
Angers 1–2 Lens1.16–2.0521% · 21% · 58%Win in line with xG for Lens
Le Havre 0–1 Lille1.18–1.6228% · 25% · 48%Win in line with xG for Lille
Lorient 3–1 Nice2.38–0.8272% · 17% · 11%Win in line with xG for Lorient
Lyon 3–0 Nantes2.35–0.8671% · 17% · 12%Win in line with xG for Lyon

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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