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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 16

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Matches

Matchday 16 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Angers 4–1 Nantes2.39–0.3583% · 13% · 4%Win in line with xG for Angers
Rennes 3–1 Brest2.23–0.8269% · 18% · 12%Win in line with xG for Rennes
Metz 2–3 PSG0.62–1.8512% · 21% · 67%Win in line with xG for PSG
Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse0.46–2.545% · 13% · 82%Win in line with xG for Toulouse
Lyon 1–0 Le Havre2.56–1.3164% · 18% · 18%Win in line with xG for Lyon
Auxerre 3–4 Lille2.97–0.5286% · 10% · 4%Won against the xG: Lille
Lens 2–0 Nice1.65–0.7659% · 24% · 17%Win in line with xG for Lens
Strasbourg 0–0 Lorient0.69–0.5334% · 41% · 24%Draw in line with xG
Marseille 1–0 Monaco1.79–2.2132% · 20% · 48%Close call, Marseille won

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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