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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 21

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Matches

Matchday 21 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 16 goals from 20.4 xG (0.78 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Metz 0–0 Lille (xG 0.63–1.65). Draw against the xG: Lille had 62% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Lens 3–1 Rennes (xG 1.16–1.50). The winner had 29% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: PSG 5–0 Marseille (xG 4.39–0.66). The winner had 94% on xG.
  • Most xG: PSG 5–0 Marseille (xG 4.39–0.66). 5.05 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: PSG 5–0 Marseille (xG 4.39–0.66). An xG gap of 3.73.
  • Most goals above xG: Lens, +1.84 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Lille, -1.65 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Metz 0–0 Lille0.63–1.6514% · 24% · 62%Draw against the xG: Lille had 62%
Lens 3–1 Rennes1.16–1.5029% · 26% · 45%Won against the xG: Lens
Brest 2–0 Lorient1.73–0.7461% · 23% · 16%Win in line with xG for Brest
Nantes 0–1 Lyon0.76–1.4120% · 27% · 52%Win in line with xG for Lyon
Nice 0–0 Monaco0.57–0.6227% · 42% · 31%Draw in line with xG
Angers 1–0 Toulouse1.03–0.5148% · 34% · 18%Win in line with xG for Angers
Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC0.94–0.7738% · 34% · 28%Draw in line with xG
Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg0.91–0.4246% · 38% · 16%Win in line with xG for Le Havre
PSG 5–0 Marseille4.39–0.6694% · 4% · 2%Win in line with xG for PSG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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