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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.3 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes 3–1 PSG | 1.36–3.58 | 10% · 12% · 78% | Won against the xG: Rennes |
| Monaco 3–1 Nantes | 1.78–1.14 | 52% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg | 1.32–1.92 | 26% · 22% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Strasbourg had 51% |
| Lille 1–1 Brest | 1.65–0.70 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Lille had 60% |
| Paris FC 0–5 Lens | 0.61–3.76 | 3% · 6% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse | 1.16–2.36 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Won against the xG: Le Havre |
| Lorient 2–0 Angers | 0.95–0.42 | 48% · 37% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Metz 1–3 Auxerre | 0.81–0.80 | 33% · 35% · 32% | Close call, Auxerre won |
| Lyon 2–0 Nice | 1.52–1.46 | 39% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.