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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest 2–0 Marseille | 1.26–1.69 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Lens 2–3 Monaco | 1.79–1.70 | 41% · 22% · 37% | Close call, Monaco won |
| Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC | 2.93–0.88 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Toulouse had 79% |
| PSG 3–0 Metz | 2.41–0.09 | 89% · 10% · 1% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Auxerre 0–3 Rennes | 0.68–1.13 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Angers 0–1 Lille | 0.39–2.33 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Nantes 2–0 Le Havre | 1.26–0.70 | 50% · 30% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Nantes |
| Nice 3–3 Lorient | 3.24–2.22 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Nice had 59% |
| Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon | 2.15–0.34 | 80% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.