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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg 1–1 Lens | 0.84–1.83 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Lens had 61% |
| Rennes 1–0 Toulouse | 0.89–0.55 | 42% · 37% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Monaco 2–0 Angers | 1.52–0.74 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Le Havre 0–1 PSG | 0.68–3.82 | 3% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Paris FC 1–0 Nice | 1.23–1.24 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, Paris FC won |
| Lille 1–0 Nantes | 0.63–0.19 | 41% · 49% · 10% | Close call, Lille won |
| Lorient 2–2 Auxerre | 1.12–1.41 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Metz 0–1 Brest | 1.52–0.87 | 53% · 26% · 22% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Marseille 3–2 Lyon | 2.33–1.47 | 57% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.