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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 25

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Matches

Matchday 25 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.7 xG (0.88 goals per xG).

  • Win most in line with xG: Lens 3–0 Metz (xG 2.75–0.40). The winner had 86% on xG.
  • Most xG: Lyon 1–1 Paris FC (xG 1.85–1.77). 3.62 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Lens 3–0 Metz (xG 2.75–0.40). An xG gap of 2.35.
  • Most goals above xG: Rennes, +2.37 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Nice, -1.76 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
PSG 1–3 Monaco1.62–1.3045% · 24% · 31%Close call, Monaco won
Nantes 0–1 Angers0.84–0.7036% · 36% · 28%Close call, Angers won
Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg0.75–1.0825% · 32% · 43%Draw in line with xG
Toulouse 0–1 Marseille0.91–1.1329% · 30% · 41%Win in line with xG for Marseille
Lens 3–0 Metz2.75–0.4086% · 10% · 3%Win in line with xG for Lens
Brest 2–0 Le Havre1.11–0.9140% · 30% · 30%Win in line with xG for Brest
Lille 1–1 Lorient0.70–0.4537% · 42% · 21%Draw in line with xG
Nice 0–4 Rennes1.76–1.6341% · 23% · 36%Close call, Rennes won
Lyon 1–1 Paris FC1.85–1.7741% · 22% · 37%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 24 · Matchday 26

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