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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 27

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Matches

Matchday 27 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Rennes 0–0 Metz (xG 1.49–0.33). Draw against the xG: Rennes had 67% to win on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Nice 0–4 PSG (xG 0.24–4.13). The winner had 97% on xG.
  • Most xG: Lens 5–1 Angers (xG 3.39–1.58). 4.97 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Nice 0–4 PSG (xG 0.24–4.13). An xG gap of 3.89.
  • Most goals above xG: Auxerre, +1.72 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Rennes, -1.49 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lens 5–1 Angers3.39–1.5872% · 14% · 14%Win in line with xG for Lens
Toulouse 1–0 Lorient1.65–0.4069% · 23% · 9%Win in line with xG for Toulouse
Auxerre 3–0 Brest1.28–0.9444% · 28% · 27%Win in line with xG for Auxerre
Nice 0–4 PSG0.24–4.131% · 3% · 97%Win in line with xG for PSG
Lyon 1–2 Monaco1.51–3.2814% · 14% · 72%Win in line with xG for Monaco
Marseille 1–2 Lille0.67–0.9724% · 34% · 41%Win in line with xG for Lille
Paris FC 3–2 Le Havre2.06–2.0540% · 20% · 40%Win in line with xG for Paris FC
Rennes 0–0 Metz1.49–0.3367% · 25% · 8%Draw against the xG: Rennes had 67%
Nantes 2–3 Strasbourg1.64–2.3327% · 20% · 53%Win in line with xG for Strasbourg

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 26 · Matchday 28

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