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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 28

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Matches

Matchday 28 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Metz 0–0 Nantes (xG 2.28–0.46). Draw against the xG: Metz had 79% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Monaco 2–1 Marseille (xG 1.58–2.23). The winner had 27% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Lille 3–0 Lens (xG 3.68–0.59). The winner had 91% on xG.
  • Most xG: Lille 3–0 Lens (xG 3.68–0.59). 4.27 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Lille 3–0 Lens (xG 3.68–0.59). An xG gap of 3.09.
  • Most goals above xG: Brest, +1.70 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Metz, -2.28 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
PSG 3–1 Toulouse1.95–0.1681% · 16% · 2%Win in line with xG for PSG
Strasbourg 3–1 Nice2.86–0.3289% · 9% · 2%Win in line with xG for Strasbourg
Brest 3–4 Rennes1.30–2.9514% · 15% · 71%Win in line with xG for Rennes
Lille 3–0 Lens3.68–0.5991% · 7% · 3%Win in line with xG for Lille
Angers 0–0 Lyon0.29–0.7313% · 44% · 42%Draw in line with xG
Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre0.65–1.8013% · 22% · 65%Draw against the xG: Auxerre had 65%
Lorient 1–1 Paris FC1.21–0.9542% · 29% · 29%Draw in line with xG
Metz 0–0 Nantes2.28–0.4679% · 15% · 6%Draw against the xG: Metz had 79%
Monaco 2–1 Marseille1.58–2.2327% · 20% · 53%Won against the xG: Monaco

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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